Rating the ratings
Posted on Wednesday, August 04, 2010
The credit rating agencies have lost a lot of credibility over the past few years, for their part in the credit crunch.
The fact that they gave some sub-prime mortgage backed securities AAA ratings (the same as they give to the safest governments!) convinced lots of naive institutions to buy them in vast quantities. High returns for low risk, how could they lose!?
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No such thing as a free lunch!
Posted on Wednesday, July 21, 2010
When looking at funds, what makes me most nervous is when risk and reward appear to be out of line.
We have been invited to consider a fund recently that provides a 7% annual income, which will rise with inflation. This is a pretty decent return. If you assume inflation is 2.5% per annum, this means that next year the fund could yield around 7.1%, the following year 7.3% etc.
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Budget Response
Posted on Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Yesterday’s budget contained very few shocks.
Market reaction was virtually zero. Gilts barely moved whilst sterling rose very slightly. The stockmarket did virtually nothing, although bank shares rose slightly as the proposed bank levy was lower than many thought.
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All roads lead to China
Posted on Thursday, May 27, 2010
Within the investment team we
have all noticed a trend of
fund managers pushing their fund by telling us how it will benefit from
the
fantastic growth enjoyed by China.
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A weaker Euro, a stronger Germany?
Posted on Friday, May 21, 2010
Despite the so called “shock and awe” plan to solve the European debt crisis, markets remain jittery.
The initial response to the European plan was very favourable, as Europe presented a united front to keep the smaller Eurozone countries solvent.
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A fair election?
Posted on Friday, April 23, 2010
From a quick glance at recent opinion polls, you would think all three major parties have a chance of winning the upcoming election.
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